tech
December 9, 2025
The State of AI: A vision of the world in 2030
Senior AI editor Will Douglas Heaven talks with Tim Bradshaw, FT global tech correspondent, about what our world will look like in the next five years.
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TL;DR
- There are vastly different opinions on the near-future impact of generative AI, with some predicting upheaval exceeding the Industrial Revolution and others arguing for slow, human-paced adoption.
- The speed of capability advancements in core AI technology may be slowing, shifting the focus to applications and differentiation between AI firms.
- Progress continues beyond Large Language Models (LLMs), with areas like reinforcement learning and world models showing promise.
- The cost of AI services is expected to lead to a world of "AI haves" and "have-nots," where only those who can pay will reap productivity benefits.
- Robotaxis and humanoid robots are predicted to become commonplace, but their high compute costs may limit them to luxuries for the wealthy in the near term.
- Silicon Valley's AI boom is expected to end before 2030, but the race for global influence and debates over benefit distribution will continue.
- AI adoption is faster than any previous technology, but access requires electricity and internet, creating global disparities.
- Open-source models may help pull down prices, but the US risks losing the global south to Chinese software.
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