tech
January 8, 2026
Why AI predictions are so hard
And why we're predicting what's next for the technology in 2026 anyway.
TL;DR
- Public conversations around AI reveal widespread alarm about its current and future impacts.
- Predicting AI's future is increasingly challenging due to several major unanswered questions.
- The future trajectory of large language models (LLMs), the technology behind current AI excitement, is uncertain.
- Public opinion towards AI is largely negative, creating challenges for infrastructure development.
- The regulatory approach to AI is fragmented, with differing motives among lawmakers.
- While AI has contributed to scientific breakthroughs, chatbots have a more mixed record, offering assistance but also potential risks.
- More clarity on AI's impact is expected in the coming year, alongside new questions.
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