Homebuilder sentiment is at a 14-year low

All signs point to housing affordability getting worse.

Homebuilder sentiment is at a 14-year low

TL;DR

  • Housing starts fell 5.2% in September to 1.22 million units, down 7.4% year over year.
  • Single-family home starts reached their lowest level since March 2023.
  • Pending home sales dropped 7.3% last month, the lowest since 2001.
  • Homebuilder sentiment fell to its lowest level since 2012.
  • Average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates are near 7.4%, not consistently above this level since 2000.
  • Builders compete with data center builders for labor and materials.
  • Restrictionist immigration policy may be crimping the supply of construction workers.