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Oct 23, 2026
Musk’s Tesla-SpaceX merger pitch collides with profit pressure and power fears
Elon Musk sees a Tesla-SpaceX combination as an AI and robotics powerhouse, but Tesla’s weak earnings, concentrated control and regulatory exposure could make shareholder approval a steep test.
Musk had previously argued that the overlap between his companies was growing as both pushed deeper into artificial intelligence and robotics. The practical case is clear enough: Tesla’s autonomous vehicles, Optimus robots, batteries and storage could pair with SpaceX’s Starlink network, AI work and planned orbital data centres. A combined group could span computing, software, vehicles and robots.1
That vision moved from speculation to a formal process on Tuesday, when Tesla and SpaceX said they had created special committees of independent directors to explore a merger. Musk, who leads both companies and is their largest shareholder, said he could not participate because of his conflict of interest — but made his preference plain: “Do I think it would be a good idea? Yes.”
2 He also said Tesla shareholders would need to approve any deal with votes representing 50% of all outstanding shares, calling that threshold “quite a high hurdle.”3
The upside, in Musk’s telling, is cooperation at the edge of what he calls the “superintelligence singularity,” with “a lot to be gained from cooperating.”1 But critics of the deal see a different consolidation: more freedom to shift people, technology and capital inside Musk’s corporate orbit, with fewer related-party disclosures and fewer opportunities for shareholders to challenge those moves.1
On Wednesday, Tesla’s quarterly results sharpened that tension. Revenue was essentially flat at $28 billion, while net income fell 43% to $787 million as the company spent heavily on self-driving technology and humanoid robots.4 Musk has called Optimus potentially “the biggest product on earth,” but Tesla still has little revenue from those newer businesses.5
A merger valued around $3.5 trillion would face more than a shareholder vote. Analysts have flagged Chinese approval, U.S. national-security concerns tied to SpaceX’s defence work, and the risks of placing even more voting power in Musk’s hands. The proposed AI empire may be strategically coherent; convincing investors and watchdogs it will be accountable is the harder mission.1